Wednesday Worries – Traders Finally Notice Things Are Not Perfect

The ISM Report was, I would say, NOT good.

We knew that was going to happen on Monday, when I warned you not to be taken in by the window-dressing that was ending the quarter on a false high and we knew that two weeks ago when we cashed in our Member Portfolios at the top of the market so now we're pretty much sitting on the sidelines and laughing at all this BS – which is kind of fun, actually…

I also noted on Monday that we have two Fed speakers today:  Harker at 9am and Williams at 10:50, right after the Oil Inventories.  Tomorrow there are 2 more Fed speakers along with PMI and ISM Services but, if they are bad, I can't imagine what Evans and Quarles can do to cheer us up.  Friday is Non-Farm Payroll so major disaster if that goes south and that's why we have 5 speakers after that report – including Jerry Powell at 2pm – so lots of way to prop things up – even if the data continues to suck.

We have Auto Sales today, coming in all day long but, so far, they have sucked in Europe and Asia, with double-digit declines for many companies – that hasn't been helping and the Futures are off another half a point this morning.  Over in Japan Toyota, Honda and Nissan all reported double-digit declines for the US Market in September but the month began and ended on a Sunday and Labor Day was early so it's not really as bad as it seems – just tough comps to last year.  Still, the money won't be there for the end of Q3 – that's what matters.  

That's going to matter a lot to Tesla (TSLA) – so let's keep a close eye on their report too.  

U.S. vehicle sales this year are projected to be around 17.1 million, according to Edmunds, slightly lower than the past few years. Rising car prices and higher interest rates dulled demand in the first six months of 2019.  Detroit auto makers GM and Ford, as well as Fiat/Chrysler recently ended their long-term practice of reporting monthly U.S. sales numbers, although most major car companies still disclose the results each month. The companies now…

You must login to see all of Phil's posts. To read the rest of this article now, along with Phil's live intra-day comments, live trading ideas, Phil's market calls, additional member comments, and other members-only features - Subscribe to Phil's Stock World by clicking here.
To signup for a free trial membership, click here.

Do you know someone who would benefit from this information? We can send your friend a strictly confidential, one-time email telling them about this information. Your privacy and your friend's privacy is your business... no spam! Click here and tell a friend!