As recently as in early March, polls had Hillary Clinton with a 41% to 36% advantage over Donald Trump.
But a new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters conducted on April 27-28, 2016, found that for the first time, Trump is leading Hillary, 41% to 39%!
- Overall, 41% of likely voters favor Trump, vs. 39% for Hillary.
- 15% prefer some other candidate.
- 5% are undecided.
- 73% of Republicans and as much as 15% of Democrats favor Trump.
- 77% of Democrats and a very perverse 8% of Republicans favor Hillary.
- Among voters not affiliated with either the GOP or Democratic party, 37% favor Trump; 31% favor Hillary; 23% want neither Trump nor Hillary, but another candidate instead; 9% are undecided.
- Among men, 48% favor Trump, 35% favor Hillary.
- Among women, 44% favor Hillary, 34% favor Trump.
- Trump has a small advantage among older voters, but does surprisingly well among voters under the age of 40, traditionally a reliable Democratic group. 38% of younger voters favor Hillary; 32% favor Trump; 25% want another candidate; 5% are undecided.
- Among blacks, 71% want Hillary, only 9% favor Trump.
- Among other racial minorities, 45% favor Hillary, 33% favor Trump.
- Among whites, 48% favor Trump, 33% favor Hillary.
To see the survey’s question wording, click here. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
~Eowyn
