There is a saying among pitching coaches that goes “if you throw an off-speed pitch 2-2, you might as well throw it 3-2.” Here is the reason for the saying. If a pitcher throws a curve ball on a 2-2 count and it ends up being a ball, the
Often a fastball count in my humble opinion
count is now full at 3-2. The batter knows what is coming next – a fastball. Especially since the pitcher just proved he has a tough time throwing his curve ball for a strike. A fastball is coming and the batter knows it. That’s why a coach says “you might as well throw it again” because otherwise the batter is likely to kill the fastball. If there are runners on base with two outs, there is a good chance the runners are moving on the pitch as well. Runners moving on the pitch + a fastball coming + the batter knows this = not a very good combination for the pitcher.
This is why I’m a big fan of the 2-2 fastball, especially when there are two outs. With a 2-2 count, the batter is still in defensive mode and not sure what pitch is coming. He can’t sit dead fastball. A good fastball, especially on the inner half, can tie up a hitter pretty effectively. It also is more easily thrown for a strike which prevents the count from getting to full.
Like every other situation in baseball, there are always going to be exceptions. Throwing a breaking pitch on a 2-2 count (and 3-2) can be good if their best hitter is up and a base is open. It is also fine if the pitcher has great command of his off-speed pitch.
Although there is no such thing as a wrong pitch to throw, the 2-2 fastball is often a pitcher’s best option.