Politics Magazine

State Of The Democratic Race With Two Weeks To Go

Posted on the 31 May 2016 by Jobsanger
State Of The Democratic Race With Two Weeks To Go (Photo of Clinton and Sanders is from abc13.com.)
There are two weeks left in the primary season for the Democratic Party, and Bernie Sanders is still trying to fool people into believing he has a chance to win the presidential nomination (and some of his supporters are actually buying into that delusion). Here's the truth about the delegate count (according to Bloomberg Politics).
HILLARY CLINTON
primary/caucus delegates...............1769
super delegates...............541
total delegates...............2310
needed to win...............73
BERNIE SANDERS
primary/caucus delegates...............1499
super delegates...............43
total delegates...............1542
needed to win...............841
And here are the contests still to come (with delegates available).
June 4th
Virgin Islands...............7 delegates
June 5th
Puerto Rico...............60 delegates
June 7th
New Jersey...............126 delegates
North Dakota...............18 delegates
South Dakota...............20 delegates
New Mexico...............34 delegates
Montana...............21 delegates
California...............475 delegates
June 14th
District of Columbia...............20 delegates
Total delegates still available...............781
Sanders needs 841 more delegates, but there are only 781 delegates still available. That means if he won 100% of the delegates still remaining, he would still be 60 delegates short of the 2383 needed for the nomination. Since he will be doing good to win 50% of the remaining delegates, that means once the primary season is over he will still be between 300 and 400 votes short -- while Clinton will be about 300 votes over the needed total.
After all the bad-mouthing he did about super delegates, Bernie is now hoping to convince several hundred of them to abandon Clinton and support him. That is not going to happen. Since the inception of super delegates, a majority of them has never voted for a candidate who did not win the majority of primary/caucus delegates -- and that is not going to change this year. Clinton has won the most votes, the most states, and the most primary/caucus delegates -- and the super delegates pledged to her will hold firm.
We will play this out for a couple more weeks, but it's clear to anyone who can do elementary school math -- Hillary Clinton is going to be the presidential nominee of the Democratic Party.

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