The chart above reflects the results of the latest Quinnipiac University Poll on the Senate race in Texas. The poll questioned 1,078 likely voters between October 22nd and 28th, and has a margin of error of 3.5 points.
The poll has incumbent Republican Ted Cruz with a 5 point lead over Democrat Beto O'Rourke. Don't let that discourage you if you're a Democrat, or keep you from voting. The poll is a "likely voter" model -- and the huge turnout this year may well show that model to be wrong.
This race is close, and it will be won by the candidate that does the best job of getting his voters to the polls. That would be men, Whites, and Republicans for Cruz -- and it would be women, Blacks, Hispanics, Independents, and Democrats for O'Rourke.
