Check out this enclosed chart showing your percentage probability you'll/we'll contract the virus given the known cases already found in a county. Very eye-opening. From today's NYT.
Known cases in a county Probability of community transmission
0 9%
1 51%
2 70%
3 79%
4 84%
5 85%
10 95%
20 99%
43 or more 100%
By The New York Times·Source: Emily Javan, Spencer Fox and Lauren Ancel Meyers, the University of Texas at Austin
To better see the chart and for the article from which it comes:
Does My County Have an Epidemic?
To put the above chart in perspective, Wyandotte County presently reports 137 cases. Johnson County, 183 cases, according to the Kansas City Star. More from the Star:
According to state data at least 135 cases have been confirmed in Jackson County and at least 172 have been confirmed in Kansas City.
Apply those totals from our local counties to this chart above and see what conclusions you come to.
So yes, let's take this stay at home idea and order seriously. It doesn't last forever. Stay positive. It's Spring.
Be careful out there, y'all. Be safe. Get a mask if you haven't got one already?
And stay home.
Sources:
Missouri reports 178 new cases of coronavirus, at least 24 total deaths statewide
Coronavirus in Kansas City: Confirmed cases of COVID-19 climb in Missouri, Kansas