Come
March, the salaried Indian middle class gets a different stress ! – Employers
would be deducting tax at source; many would have assured saving in specified
schemes X amount, trying to have some IT
exemption – at the 11th hour would find that they could not save ! ~
interestingly some would borrow to save !!
Often the talk
dwells on ‘black money’, nay not the color of money. Sometime back …. ‘a YYY group gave crores of
loan, free of interest to that Eye hospital, which one were seeing at every
corner that time. It also gave
substantial amount of Rs 40 cr in cash — that is, black money — ‘all on a
single day’, ‘as a single transaction’ – the cash reportedly found its way to an
influential politician who was an ex Central Minister… Corruption, hoarding of money, black money and
stashing money in foreign banks have been haunting the Nation and have been the
themes of many blockbuster films where the incidence of black money is very
high !
Till a few decades
ago, men lived for their pride – keeping up promises and paying back debts were
virtues and somebody not able to do so would even give up their lives. Those who were unable to pay back their debts
for some reasons announced their position by filing ‘insolvency petition’
[called yellow leaf-let] and those who had done so, had no honor in the
society and would often commit suicide. In
recent times, we often see that Companies [chit funds and others] collect
public money, don’t repay and cheat the public – the owners / directors when
arrested, merrily wave their hands to the media, as if they had just achieved
some notable thing.
In Sankar’s ‘Sivaji, the Boss’ the story line was black
money…. Adiseshan played by Suman manages to put Sivaji behind the bars and
hatch a plot to eliminate him. In the
long climax, Sivaji fights the villain in the terrace of his medical college ~
and unravels hard currency notes stashed below the tiles………. !! …. Currency
notes fly everywhere and the students start collecting them stating it was the
black money paid by them for begetting seats…….in the melee, the villain gets
killed in the stampede.
There is no
question that India has the most positive economic story on the planet. Buoyed
by increased manufacturing output, India's economy grew by 7.4% in the third
quarter of 2015, the fastest growth of any major country in the world. But
there is a dark side to India's success, says one of the country's most eminent
economists. I certainly feel like agreeing to this – but just read on the
article that appeared in BBC. Kaushik
Basu, the chief economist of the World Bank and former chief economic adviser
to the Indian government, says the nation's tradition of petty corruption
helped India avoid the worst of the banking crisis that has crippled most other
large economies in the last few years.
It is an
extraordinary claim for such an influential figure to make but, as he says in
his new book, An Economist in the Real World, "economics is not a moral
subject". His argument is that the pervasive use of "black
money" - illegal cash, hidden from the tax authorities - created a bulwark
against a crisis in the banking sector.
Mr Basu says
dirty money saved India from the financial crisis that engulfed the rest of the
world. Back in the last years of the noughties India's economy was looking just
as frothy as the rest of the world. It
had been growing at an astounding 9% a year for the three years to 2008. What's
more, India's growth had been fuelled, at least in part, by a dramatic housing
boom. Between 2002 and 2006 average property prices increased by 16% a year,
way ahead of average incomes, and faster even than in the US. The difference in
India is that all this "irrational exuberance" did not end in
disaster.
There was no
subprime loans crisis to precipitate a wider crisis throughout the banking
sector. So the big question is why not. There were some shrewd precautionary
moves by India's central bank, concedes Mr Basu, but he says one important
answer is all that dirty money. In most of the world the price you pay for a
property is pretty much the price listed in the window of the local realtor or
estate agent. Not in India. Here a
significant part of almost all house purchases are made in cash. And because
the highest denomination note in India is 1,000 rupees, ($15; £10) it isn't
unusual for a buyer to turn up with - literally - a suitcase full of used
notes.
Let's say you
like the look of a house that is for sale. You judge it is worth - for
argument's sake - 100 rupees. The chances are the seller will tell you he will
only take, say, 50 rupees as a formal payment and demand the rest in cash. That
cash payment is what Indians refer to as "black money". It means the
seller can avoid a hefty capital gains tax bill. Buyers benefit too because the
lower the declared value of the property, the lower the property tax they will
be obliged to pay.
What it also
means is that Indians tend to have much smaller mortgages compared to the real
value of their properties than elsewhere in the world. At the peak of the
property boom in the US and the UK it was common for lenders to offer mortgages
worth 100% of the value of the property. Some would even offer 110% mortgages,
allowing buyers to roll in the cost of finance and furnishing their new home. That's
why when the crash came, the balance sheets of the big banks collapsed along
with property prices.
In India, by
contrast, mortgage loans can only be raised on the formal house price. So, says
Mr Basu, a house worth 100 rupees would typically be bought with a mortgage of
50 rupees or less. So when prices fell in India - and they did fall in 2008 and
2009 - most bank loans were still comfortably within the value of the property.
That's why India managed to avoid the subprime crisis that did so much damage
elsewhere.
India did
experience a slowdown, but it was collateral damage from the global recession
rather than the result of any national problem. Indeed, within a year India had
begun to pull out of the crisis, returning to growth of almost 8% a year
between 2009 and 2011. That is not to say that Mr Basu approves of petty
corruption. Basu says only those who
take bribes should be held criminally responsible. He compares it to the effect
of an unpleasant disease: it may have some positive side effects - encouraging
your hair to grow, for example - but you would still prefer not to have the
illness.
Indeed, Mr
Basu is famous for having devised a particularly clever and characteristically
radical way of rooting out corruption - legalising bribery. A few years ago, he
proposed that instead of both bribe-givers and bribe-takers being held
criminally responsible for their actions, only the bribe-taker should face
sanctions. It is a simple change, but radically alters the relationship between
the two parties. It means people who give bribes no longer have a shared
interest in keeping their nefarious activity secret. Freed from the risk of
prosecution, bribe-givers would have a powerful incentive to reveal corruption.
Unfortunately,
says Mr Basu, his innovation has still not found its way into mainstream Indian
law. ….. what is
your take on this ?
With regards – S.
Sampathkumar
22nd Feb
2016
** reproduced from :
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-india-35610332