It is now about 11 months until the Iowa voters meet in their caucuses to determine who should represent them as their party's presidential nominee. That makes it interesting to see where those voters stand on the nominees right now. The Quinnipiac University Poll surveyed Iowa Republicans between February 16th and 23rd. They questioned 623 likely caucus participants, and their poll has a margin of error of 3.9 points.
The survey shows that Scott Walker has made significant progress in the state, and currently has the support of about 25% of the GOP caucus voters. That's 12 points better than Rand Paul, 14 points better than Ben Carson and Mike Huckabee, and 15 points better than Jeb Bush. I hesitate to proclaim Walker as the GOP leader, because 25% is still a long way from a majority -- but it is now clear that he could be a serious player in the race for the nomination.
The survey may also signal some troubles for Jeb Bush. A few weeks ago, pundits were anointing him as the favorite -- but he seems to be having a problem in exciting the party's base voters. I wouldn't count him out yet though. He is the favorite of Wall Street (probably because he is one of them) and is the candidate who has raised the most money -- and we all know how big a help that money can be in these races.
Frankly, this survey should scare union members (and other workers). While all of these candidates are anti-union, none is more so than Scott Walker.
