Andyepb
I am a private investor who started work in the UK at a financial information systems provider and has retained an interest in the financial markets ever since. In 1998 I was diagnosed with schizophrenia and now find that the media continually comments on my thoughts through cryptic messages, hence the title of my blog.
MY BLOGS
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Diary of a Lunatic?
http://ajedgington.wordpress.com/
Stock market and economics commentary.
LATEST ARTICLES ( 87 )
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A FTSE Break-out is Still On.
As expected, the FTSE dip seems to have fizzled out and we are back above the 20dma. Also, I have noticed a couple of contrarian indicators recently – a number... Read more
Posted on 27 July 2014 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Looking for a Break-out Again!
The spike back to just below recent highs last week is suggestive that the dip I forecast in my last post will not materialize. Read more
Posted on 09 July 2014 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
A Peak Signal in the FTSE?
OK, I’ve changed my mind again! In my last post I was expecting the FTSE to finally break through its all-time high, but it hasn’t, and the longer it fails brea... Read more
Posted on 16 June 2014 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
No One Expects the Spanish Inquisition!
The FTSE has paused for breath just below its all-time high of 6,930 and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a break-out from its recent range very soon as the talk... Read more
Posted on 28 May 2014 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Is Putin Just Bluffing?
Ah well, it looks like I was a bit previous with my last post – the FTSE is still going sideways, but, if the threat of a war in Europe and the realization... Read more
Posted on 05 April 2014 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Onwards and Upwards?
With hindsight, I think I got a bit carried away in my last post, when I predicted a 15% fall. Sharp drop-offs like this one tend to be short-lived affairs and ... Read more
Posted on 10 February 2014 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Sentiment is Too Positive!
It seems I might have been right to sound a note of caution in my last post about Mr Market doing the opposite of what the majority expects. Read more
Posted on 25 January 2014 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Time for a Look at the Bigger Picture
Well, it didn’t take long for Mr Carney (the Bank of England governor) to do as I predicted in my last post. According to the FT, he has already started to... Read more
Posted on 21 December 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Is This the Start of a Christmas Rally?
The Dow has risen nearly 25% this year; if it does the same next year it will make 20,000. That would put it on an historically very expensive footing and ripe... Read more
Posted on 07 December 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
The FTSE Refuses to Follow My Script!
The FTSE has failed to complete the peak pattern I was looking for in my last post by staying below the 20 day moving average (20dma – the green line). Read more
Posted on 30 November 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
It Looks Like the Dip is Back On!
The FTSE has oscillated around the 20 day moving average (20dma) over the last ten days or so which is usually a sign that the rally has run out of steam. Read more
Posted on 20 November 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Time to “buy the Dip”?
The FTSE has fallen below its 20 day moving average today (20dma – the green line) which, if I am right about it being at the start of a new bull run, would be ... Read more
Posted on 08 November 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Is the Stock Market Mood More Bullish Than I Thought?
I said last week that the FTSE was looking toppy and I still expected it to stay in its recent range of 6800-6000, but I have changed my mind about that. Read more
Posted on 03 November 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
How High Will the Stock Market Go?
The FTSE and the Dow have continued their rise since the US government extended the deadline for a spending agreement to January, but, in the short term, they... Read more
Posted on 26 October 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Debt Ceiling Crisis Over?
Well, the FTSE hasn’t gone quite as I predicted a couple of weeks ago, but it did hover around the 6450 level for a few days before dipping below. Read more
Posted on 12 October 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Are Markets Being Too Optimistic About Default?
After reading this article on the WSJ MarketWatch website, I am beginning to think that the chances of a US government default are a lot higher than the market... Read more
Posted on 05 October 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Will the US Government Sort Itself Out?
The FTSE has been drifting lower in sympathy with the Dow since the one-day surge in response to the non-taper. It looks like it could settle in the 6450-6500... Read more
Posted on 29 September 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
No Taper Yet!
Well, not many people saw that coming! The Fed decided yesterday that the US economy was not strong enough to start the QE taper, so everything (except the... Read more
Posted on 19 September 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
No FTSE Peak Signal This Time
There was no bounce in the FTSE back to the 20 day moving average and, as I said, I am not really surprised about that as it was what the conspirators had... Read more
Posted on 27 August 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS -
Another FTSE Peak Signal?
There seems to be another instance of my FTSE peak signal pattern emerging (rather sooner than I anticipated in my last post), with three dips close together... Read more
Posted on 17 August 2013 BUSINESS, ECONOMICS