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Two New Polls Disagree About Leading Democrat In Iowa

Posted on the 27 January 2016 by Jobsanger
Two New Polls Disagree About Leading Democrat In Iowa
Two New Polls Disagree About Leading Democrat In Iowa
With the Iowa caucuses only a few days away now, two new polls have been released on the Democratic presidential race in that state.
The Fox News Poll was done between January 18th and 21st of a random sample of 423 likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa, and has a margin of error of 4.5 points.
The American Research Group Poll was done between January 21st and 24th of a random sample of 400 likely Democratic caucus-goers, and has a margin of error of 5 points.
The Fox poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders by 6 points (slightly above the margin of error). The ARG poll shows Sanders leading Clinton by 3 points (which is well within the margin of error).
I still think Clinton has a small edge in Iowa -- but of course, the winner will be the one that is the most effective in getting their supporters to the caucuses. I doubt though that the Iowa winner, whoever it is, will win by a wide margin.
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A new national poll was also released on the Democratic race. It is the CNN / ORC Poll that was done between January 21st and 24th of a random national sample of 440 Democrats (and leaners), and has a margin of error of 4.5 points.
This polls shows Clinton still has a large 14 point lead nationally.
Two New Polls Disagree About Leading Democrat In Iowa

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