Key problem: "Nearly two-thirds of the Trump voters who said they voted for Democratic congressional candidates in 2018 say that they’ll back the president against all three named opponents." — Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) November 4, 2019
I'm not sure that's a straightforward inference since other polls show Trump with a lot of weakness in states like MI and PA. https://t.co/t9jgEHjull — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 4, 2019
It is hard to know very much unless we can see how the same pollsters have the race nationally. — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 4, 2019
