The value of any system that tracks player or team performance can be found in the correlation of the numbers produced within the system, and actual team success.
In other words, if a team produces better numbers within the system during games where they enjoy success on the scoreboard, it points to the fact that the correct metrics are being tracked. This post will compare the results obtained by the Canadiens within my player tracking system, and their results during those games tracked.
The black bar within each graph reflects the team average since the Olympic break within each metric. The "ES SC+" bar shows the results obtained during games where the Canadiens produced more even-strength scoring-chances than their opposition, while the "ES SC-" bar shows the results produced during games where the Habs game up more scoring-chances than they had themselves.
The "ES WIN" bar shows the results obtained during games the Canadiens won, while the "ES LOSS" bar shows the results produced during games the Habs lost.
EVEN-STRENGTH RATIO
Ratio is the measurement of the number of successful plays a team produces for every 1 failed play.
The Habs produced 2.62 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play in games where they had more scoring-chances than the opposition, while producing only 2.38 successful plays for every 1 failed play when they were out-chanced.
Montreal produced 2.66 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play in games they won, while producing only 2.35 successful plays for every 1 failed play when they lost.
Tracking the totals produced based on scoring-chances rather than just wins and losses, allows us to take goaltending out of the occasion, and base the results on the results directly controlled by the team's skaters.
These number can be also be broken down by zone (offensive/defensive/neutral), as well as by manpower situation (even-strength/powerplay/short-handed).
EVEN-STRENGTH RISK/REWARD
Risk/reward rating is a reflection of how many more successful plays a team produces than failed plays per-minute of ice-time. The main difference between risk/reward and ratio is that it takes into account ice-time. Therefore, a more active player or team will generally produce a higher risk/reward rating than a less active team.
The Habs had a risk/reward rating of 1.83 during games where they had more even-strength scoring-chances than their opposition, while producing a rating of 1.63 when they were out-chanced.
Montreal produced a risk/reward rating of 1.85 during games they won, compared to a rating of 1.66 when they lost.
These number can be also be broken down by zone (offensive/defensive/neutral), as well as by manpower situation (even-strength/powerplay/short-handed).
EVEN-STRENGTH PUCK-POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE
Puck-possession success-rate or offensive-touch success-rate is a measurement of how successful a team is at maintaining puck-possession. Events used in this rating include passes, dekes, dump-outs, and dump-ins. The higher a team's o-touch success-rate, the more success they had controlling possession.
Montreal had a puck-possession success-rate of 64.2% in games where they had more even-strength scoring-chances than their opposition, while producing an o-touch success-rate of 63.0% when they were out-chanced.
The Habs had an offensive-touch success-rate of 64.9% during games they won, compared to a puck-possession success-rate of 62.3% when they lost.
These number can be also be broken down by zone (offensive/defensive/neutral), as well as by manpower situation (even-strength/powerplay/short-handed).
EVEN-STRENGTH DEFENSIVE SUCCESS-RATE
Even-strength defensive success-rate (d-touch success-rate) represents how successful a team is when attempting to remove puck-possession from the opposition. Events used in this calculation include stick-checks, body-checks, blocked shots, and blocked passes.
The Habs produced a defensive success-rate of 64.2% during games where they had more scoring-chances than the opposition at even-strength, while producing a defensive success-rate of 60.7% when they were out-chanced.
Montreal had a d-touch success-rate of 63.3% during games they won, compared to 61.5% when they lost.
These number can be also be broken down by zone (offensive/defensive/neutral), as well as by manpower situation (even-strength/powerplay/short-handed).
These reports can be produced for any player at any level. All that's required is video. Feel free to contact me by e-mail with any questions, comments, or inquiries about the services I provide.
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