PaulC 156 here:
And the fact that the average polls are showing a swing toward remain does the case no harm.
More especially so as the majority of those who've died since the referendum would have been leavers and the majority of those formerly too young to vote are remainers. So the Young People get to decide. Can't be too bad can it!
It is quite true that older people were more likely to have voted Leave and younger people more likely Remain.
It is also true that a few hundred thousand of the older people who voted Leave two-and-a-half years ago have since died, and a few hundred thousand more younger people, who are more likely to vote Leave, are now eligible to vote.
So another Referendum is a slam dunk for Remain then?
What this ignores is that a few hundred thousand middle aged people who voted Remain last time will have crossed the Rubicon and would vote Leave if there were another Referendum; it all cancels out neatly.
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