Sports Magazine

One-game Scouting Report for Fleury, Bryzgalov, and Bobrovsky

By Kicks @Chrisboucher73
From game 4 of the 2012 opening-round series between the Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins
Marc-Andre Fleury's ability to overcome a terrible short-handed goaltending rating was enough to carry the Penguins to a 10-3 win.  Neither Philadelphia goalie was able to hold the fort; to the point where both goalie's produced record-low ratings.
The 6'2", 180 lbs Fleury finished the regular season with a  42-17-4 record, a 2.36 goals against average, and a .913 save percentage. He has a career save percentage of .909 during the regular season, and .905 during the playoffs.
The 6'2", 190 lbs. Sergei Bobrovsky finished the regular season with a 14-10-2 record, a 3.02 goals against average, and an .899 save percentage. He has a career save percentage of .909 during the regular season, and .898 during the playoffs.
The 6'3", 213 lbs. Ilya Bryzgalov finished the regular season with a 33-16-7 record, a 2.48 goals against average, and an .909 save percentage. He has a career save percentage of .915 during the regular season, and .908 during the playoffs.
My scouting reports for goalies focus on their ability to make saves, make big saves, control rebounds, and maintain good balance. The results of these attributes are added together to produce the goaltender's rating. The highest possible rating is 4.00, while the lowest possible rating is 0.00. The higher the value the better a goalie has played.
The first number involved in the calculation is the percentage of saves a goalie makes without giving up a rebound. For example, if a goalie makes 10 saves and gives up only 1 rebound his "no rebound percentage" is .900. Again, the higher the number, the better a goalie performs.

The next number in the calculation is the percentage of safe rebounds a goalie gives up for each rebound allowed. Rebounds deflected outside of the main slot are considered safe. As such, a safe rebound is defined as a rebound outside of an imaginary line drawn from each goalpost to the corresponding board-side hash mark. As an example of this calculation, if a goalie gives up 10 rebounds and deflects 9 of those pucks outside the slot, his "safe rebound percentage" is .900. Again, the higher the number, the better a goalie performs.

The next number is the percentage of saves that would be considered "big saves". A big save is defined as any save made on a play that would be considered a traditional scoring chance. As an example of this calculation, if a goalie makes 5 big saves on 20 shots his "big save percentage" would be .250. Once again, the higher the number, the better a goalie performs.

I also track how a goalie controls the puck. I do this by tracking his successful or unsuccessful pass-attempts, as well as his successful or unsuccessful attempts to dump the puck out of his zone. The resulting numbers are used to produce a ratio of successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play.

#29 M.A FLEURY
#35 S. BOBROVSKY
#30 I. BRYZGALOV
SHORT-HANDED GOALTENDING RATING
All 3 goalies produced absolutely brutal short-handed goaltending ratings.
Fleury stopped only 5 of 8 short-handed shots. He allowed only 2 rebounds on those 5 saves, but both rebounds landed in the slot. He made no saves short-handed on shots that would be considered traditional scoring chances.
Bobrovsky had the best short-handed rating of the 3 goalies. That said, his SH rating was still well below average. He stopped 5 of 7 short-handed shots, and produced rebounds from 4 of those 5 saves. To his credit, only 1 of those 4 rebounds landed in the slot.
Bryzgalov had the lowest short-handed rating of the group, and the first rating I've seen below 1.00 (including junior goalies). He stopped 4 of six shots, and produced dangerous rebounds with all 4 of his saves. Thankfully, he made 1 save on a shot that would be considered a traditional scoring chance, otherwise his rating would have been even lower.


29 (MAF)35 (SB)30 (IB)

O REBOUND %0.6000.2000.000O REBOUND %

SAFE REBOUND %0.0000.7500.000SAFE REBOUND %

BIG SAVE%0.0000.0000.250BIG SAVE%

SAVE %0.6250.7140.667SAVE %


293530

SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS001SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS

UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS000UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS

PUCK PLAYS RATION/AN/A
N/APUCK PLAYS RATIO


293530

GOALTENDER RATING1.231.660.92GOALTENDER RATING


293530


OVERALL GOALTENDING RATING
Although he still produced a below-average overall rating, Fleury's above-average even-strength rating (2.09) was enough to push his overall rating to 1.88. Overall, he stopped 22 of 25 shots, and produced rebound with 11 of those 22 saves. Seven of those 11 rebounds landed in the slot, while 3 of his 22 saves occurred on shots that would be considered traditional scoring chances.
Fleury completed 7 of his 10 pass-attempts for a puck-handling ratio of 2.33 successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play.
Bobrovksy's even-strength rating was actually lower than his short-handed rating, giving him a well below-average overall rating of 1.56. He  stopped only 13 of 18 shots. He allowed from rebounds from 8 of those 13 saves, five of which ended up in the slot. One of his 13 saves occurred on a shot that is considrered a scoring chance.
Bryzgalov earned the lowest goaltending rating ever produced in games I've scouted. Like Bobrovsky, he stopped 13 of 18 shots and allowed 8 rebounds from those 13 saves. His rating drops below Bobrovsky's when we look at the placement of the rebounds. An incredible 7 of his 8 rebounds landed in the slot, giving him a safe rebound percentage of only 13%. Two of his 13 saves occurred on Pittsburgh scoring chances.
Please keep in mind, these are only one-game scouting reports. As such (thankfully for the goalies involved), these are only meant to reflect their performance during this one game. 


293530

O REBOUND %0.5000.3850.385O REBOUND %

SAFE REBOUND %0.3640.3750.125SAFE REBOUND %

BIG SAVE%0.1360.0770.154BIG SAVE%

SAVE %0.8800.7220.722SAVE %


293530

SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS701SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS

UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS300UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS

PUCK PLAYS RATIO2.33N/AN/APUCK PLAYS RATIO


293530

GOALTENDER RATING1.881.561.39GOALTENDER RATING


293530


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