Ray Emery's ability to allow no rebounds on initial shots carried his overall goaltender rating. Meanwhile, Carey Price's rating was helped by his ability to keep the rebounds he did produce out of the slot.
The 6'2", 196 lbs Emery finished the 2013 regular season with a 17-1-3 record, a 1.94 goals against average, and a .922 save percentage. He has a career save percentage of .908 during the regular season, and .903 during the playoffs.
The 6'3", 212 lbs. Price finished the 2013 regular season with a 21-13-7 record, a 2.59 goals against average, and a .905 save percentage. He has a career save percentage of .915 during the regular season, and .905 during the playoffs.
My scouting reports for goalies focus on their ability to make saves, make big saves, and control rebounds. The results of these attributes are added together to produce the goaltender's rating. The highest possible rating is 4.00, while the lowest possible rating is 0.00. The higher the value the better a goalie has played.
The first number involved in the calculation is the percentage of saves a goalie makes without giving up a rebound. For example, if a goalie makes 10 saves and gives up only 1 rebound his "no rebound percentage" is .900. Again, the higher the number, the better a goalie performs.
The next number in the calculation is the percentage of safe rebounds a goalie gives up for each rebound allowed. Rebounds deflected outside of the main slot are considered safe. As such, a safe rebound is defined as a rebound outside of an imaginary line drawn from each goalpost to the corresponding board-side hash mark. As an example of this calculation, if a goalie gives up 10 rebounds and deflects 9 of those pucks outside the slot, his "safe rebound percentage" is .900. Again, the higher the number, the better a goalie performs.
The next number is the percentage of saves that would be considered "big saves". A big save is defined as any save made on a play that would be considered a traditional scoring chance. As an example of this calculation, if a goalie makes 5 big saves on 20 shots his "big save percentage" would be .250. Once again, the higher the number, the better a goalie performs.
I also track how a goalie controls the puck. I do this by tracking his successful or unsuccessful pass-attempts, as well as his successful or unsuccessful attempts to dump the puck out of his zone. The resulting numbers are used to produce a ratio of successful plays for every 1 unsuccessful play.
SHORT-HANDED GOALTENDING RATING
Price produced a rebound on each of the short-handed shots he stopped. His rating was hurt by these rebounds, as well as his low SH save-percentage. He stopped 6 of 7 short-handed shots, and allowed 6 rebounds from those 6 saves. Three of those 6 rebounds landed in the slot, and he made 2 saves on a shots that could be considered scoring chances.
Price was unsuccessful with his only attempt to dump the puck out while short-handed.
Emery's short-handed play was busier than Price, as he stopped 11 of the 13 shots he faced. He allowed 6 rebounds from those 11 saves, and 5 of those rebounds landed in the slot. Two of his 11 saves came on shots that are considered scoring chances.
PRICE3129EMERY
O REBOUND %0.0000.455O REBOUND %
SAFE REBOUND %0.5000.167SAFE REBOUND %
BIG SAVE%0.3330.182BIG SAVE%
SAVE %0.8570.846SAVE %
3129
SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS00SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS10UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
PUCK PLAYS RATIO0.00N/APUCK PLAYS RATIO
3129
GOALTENDER RATING1.691.65GOALTENDER RATING
3129
OVERALL GOALTENDING RATING
Price's overall goaltending rating was saved by the even-strength play. His slightly above-average overall rating was carried by his ES save-percentage, and his ability to keep rebounds out of the slot. Overall, he stopped 22 of 23 shots. Ninety of those 22 saves produced rebounds, but only 7 of those 19 rebounds landed in the slot. He also made 7 saves on shots that are considered scoring-chances.
Price was successful with 8 of his 9 of his attempts to play the puck by way of a pass, or dump-out.
Emery's overall rating of 2.02 was helped by his impressive rebound control; specifically his ability to produce no rebounds at all. Overall, he stopped 30 of 34 shots. He allowed rebounds on 18 of those 30 saves, and 9 of those 18 rebounds landed in the slot. Seven of his 30 saves were produced on Montreal scoring chances.
Emery was successful with 3 of his 6 attempts to handle the puck by way of a pass, or dump-out.
PRICE3129EMERY
NO REBOUND %0.1360.400NO REBOUND %
SAFE REBOUND %0.6320.500SAFE REBOUND %
BIG SAVE%0.3180.233BIG SAVE%
SAVE %0.9570.882SAVE %
3129
SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS83SUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS13UNSUCCESSFUL PUCK PLAYS
PUCK PLAYS RATIO8.001.00PUCK PLAYS RATIO
3129
GOALTENDER RATING2.042.02GOALTENDER RATING
3129
It's important to note that these numbers only represent these goalies' play during this one game. They are not meant to determine the better goalie long-term.
