Classic stuff in Guardian/Comment Is Free:
Four decades after the book was published, Limit to Growth’s forecasts have been vindicated by new Australian research. Expect the early stages of global collapse to start appearing soon.
The article includes a few charts comparing the predictions of forty years ago with actual outcomes.
So far, the predictions appear to be surprisingly accurate; they predicted rising agricultural, industrial and services output, falling birthrates and longer life expectancy. None of which is rocket science, they merely extrapolated the trend from 1900 to 1970.
The original predictions were that all this will go into reverse in 2020 or thereabouts, but as we are still on the upwards trend, I'm not sure how they work that out and the article offers little in evidence apart from conjecture.
(It's like me predicting that Arsenal FC will remain in the Premiership for the next five years and then be relegated to the Championship; I can't come back in five years time and say that as they are still in the Premiership, my predictions are vindicated and next year they will definitely be relegated. Not that I know much about football.)
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