Sports Magazine

Game-by-game Risk/reward Ratings for Each Montreal Canadiens Player

By Kicks @Chrisboucher73

This post will focus on each Montreal Canadiens game-by-game performance through the first 28 games of the season. Each player's contribution will be expressed by their risk/reward rating. Risk/reward rating is a measurement of the difference between the number of successful plays and the number of unsuccessful plays a player contributes per-minute of ice-time. These graphs communicate each risk/reward rating at even-strength.The higher the number, the more successful plays than failed plays the player has contributed per-minute played.
Events used in the calculation of risk/reward include; passes, shots, dump-ins, dump-outs, dekes, blocked shots, blocked passes, stick-checks, body-checks, loose-puck recoveries. Each of these events are broken down by zone. There are also sub-categories to each event. Sub-categories include, wall-dekes, open-ice dekes, stretch passes, outlet passes, d-to-d passes, high-risk passes in the neutral-zone, chip-dumps, deflections, perimeter passes in the offensive-zone, and passes to the slot.
DOUGLAS MURRAY
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal defensemen this season is 2.14.
Murray's current risk/reward is 1.59. Only Jarred Tinordi has produced a lower risk/reward than Murray. That said, Murray has produced a risk/reward above his personal average in each of the last 6 games he's played.

BRANDON PRUST
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32.  Prust's current risk/reward rating is 1.66. Among wingers with at least 150 even-strength minutes played, only Michael Bournival has a better risk/reward rating than Prust. That said, Prust has only produced a risk/reward rating above his personal average in 3 of the 9 games he's played since returning from injury.

BRENDAN GALLAGHER
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Gallagher's current risk/reward rating is 1.38. This gives Gallagher the fourth-best risk/reward rating among wingers with significant ice-time. He had a rating of 1.44 last season, and has produced a risk/reward above his own personal average in 5 of his last 8 games.

TOMAS PLEKANEC
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal centres this season is 1.48. Plekanec has a  risk/reward of 1.38 this season; giving him the third-best risk/reward rating among centres, and the sixth-best among forwards. Plekanec faces the other team's top-players, and has not produced a rating above his own personal average in any of the last 5 games. That said, Plekanec lowest face-off success-rate over those games is 51.5%, while his best is 76.2%.

GEORGE PARROS
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Parros has a risk/reward rating of 0.65 this season. He has the lowest rating of any Montreal player, but has not played the required minutes to have produced a representative-rating.

RENE BOURQUE
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Rene Bourque has a risk/reward rating of 0.89 this season, which is actually an improvement over his 0.83 rating from last year. He engages in the second-fewest even-strength events per-minute and has the second-lowest risk/reward to show for it. The graph produced from his results screams inconsistency.

BRIAN GIONTA
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Gionta has a risk/reward rating of 1.28 this season; fifth-best among Habs wingers, and almost identical to the rating he had last season. He has produced a risk/reward above his current average in 2 of the last 5 games.

JARRED TINORDI
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal defensemen this season is 2.14. Tinordi has the lowest risk/reward rating among Habs defensmen at 1.33. That said, he has a small sample size, and had actually produced a risk/reward of 2.18 during the preseason. His rating last season was 1.46.


JOSH GORGES
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal defensemen this season is 2.14.  Gorges has a risk/reward rating of 2.24. Third-best behind only Andrei Markov and PK Subban. He had a rating of 1.86 last season.

ALEX GALCHENYUK
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Galchenyuk has a risk/reward rating of 1.10 this season; seventh-best among wingers with 150 ES minutes played. His rating was 1.28 last season, and he's produced a rating above his own personal average in each of the last 2 games.

TRAVIS MOEN
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Moen has a risk/reward rating of 1.19 this season; slightly better than last year's rating of 1.17. Moen has not produced a rating above his own personal average in any of the last 4 games.

GABRIEL DUMONT
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Dumont has a risk/reward rating of 1.37 this season.

NATHAN BEAULIEU
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal defensemen this season is 2.14.  Beaulieu has a risk/reward rating of 2.13 this season. He had a rating of 1.64 last season, and his rating had dropped below his own average in his last 2 NHL games.

MICHAEL BLUNDEN
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Blunden has a risk/reward rating of 0.90.

DANIEL BRIERE
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Briere has a risk/reward rating of only 0.84; lowest among all Montreal forwards with at least 150 ES minutes played. His rating is hurt by his lack of involvement, as Briere engages in the fewest events per-minute played of any Habs player. That said, his rating has been above his own personal average in 5 of the last 6 games.

MICHAEL BOURNIVAL
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Bournival has the best risk/reward rating among all Habs forwards, and only Pacioretty and Eller engage in more events per-minute played than the Habs newest rookie. He was a healthy scratch against Toronto, but has produced a rating above his own average in 3 of the last 5 games he's played.

DAVID DESHARNAIS
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal centres this season is 1.48. Desharnais has a risk/reward rating of 1.21 this season; fourth-best among Habs centres, and ninth-best among all forwards. He had a rating of 1.45 last season, and has produced a risk/reward above his own average in 2 of the last 3 games.

RYAN WHITE
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal centres this season is 1.48. White has a risk/reward rating of 1.48 this season; second-best among centres. He had a rating of 1.45 with limited ice-time last season, and has a rating above his own average in 3 of the last 5 games he's played.

FRANCIS BOUILLON
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal defensemen this season is 2.14.  Bouillon has a risk/reward rating of 1.77 this season; sixth-best among defensemen with significant ice-time. He had had a rating of 1.79 last year., and has produced a rating above his own average in 4 of the last 6 games he's played.

RAPHAEL DIAZ
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal defensemen this season is 2.14. Diaz has a risk/reward rating of 1.91 this season; fourth-best among Habs defensemen who have played at least 150 even-strength minutes. He had a risk/reward rating of 1.86 last season, and has produced a rating above his own average in only 1 of the last 6 games.

MAX PACIORETTY
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Pacioretty has a risk/reward rating of 1.51 this season; third-best among wingers, and fourth-best among forwards. He had a rating of 1.74 last season, and has a risk/reward rating above his season average in each of the last 3 games, and four of his last five.

LOUIS LEBLANC
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Leblanc has a risk/reward rating of 1.39 this season.

ALEXEI EMELIN
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal defensemen this season is 2.14.  Emelin has produced a risk/reward rating of 2.16; fourth-best among Habs defensemen; making him one of only four Montreal players with a rating above 2.0. That said, he still has a relatively small sample-size, and has yet to reach the 150 ES minutes played mark. His rating was 1.63 last season, and he's produced a risk/reward above his own average in four of the last 5 games.

PK. SUBBAN
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal defensemen this season is 2.14.  Subban has a team-leading risk/reward rating of 2.53. His rating during his Norris Trophy winning season was 2.32. He has produced a rating above his own average in only 1 of the last 6 games. That said, he has a defensive success-rate significantly above his own average in each of the last 6 games.

ANDREI MARKOV
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal defensemen this season is 2.14.  Markov has a risk/reward rating of 2.32; second only to Subban this season, and slightly better than the rating Subban produced last season. He had a rating of 1.83 last season, and has had a rating above his own average in 2 of the last 4 games. Incredibly, Markov has produced a rating below his risk/reward from last season only twice this season.

LARS ELLER
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal centres this season is 1.48. Eller has produced a risk/reward rating of 1.81 this season; tops among all Montreal forward not named Bournival. Eller had a forward-best rating of 1.83 last season, after leading all forwards in risk/reward in 2011-12 as well. Eller has produced a rating at, or above his season average in each of the last 7 games.

PATRICK HOLLAND
The average even-strength risk/reward rating for Montreal wingers this season is 1.32. Holland has produced a risk/reward rating of 1.68 this season.


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