For those who find the political flatten the curve flattening without disturbing the equilibrium or a developer eager to reunite lot of fear.
"The key question is how to determine the optimal cost of the carton package to maximize the health benefit events," said Thomas Hale, an associate professor in public policy at the University of Oxford. "However, this magic formula and likely to differ for different people, and in the course of time as the virus surges or recedes."
For it is a live coal, sometimes need to change, and ever, and throughout all the country of the difference.
However, nearly three times as nations - Finland, Norway and Denmark - stand out in recent months, a CNN analysis shows. The analysis, which looked at data from the University of Oxford and Johns Hopkins University found that for all three countries implemented the continent's most relaxed combinations of restrictions, is more inclined towards people average daily deadly diseases low - below are a million - 1 for the three-month period between September and November 30.
Denmark's victory may be ending. In late November, the Danish death rates exceeded a million for the first time since May, data showed Harvard. On Friday, in many cases, has been recently topped 4,000. Earlier in the week, officials announced a nationwide lockdown expanded restrictions and conditions aimed at tamping down rising infections.
But at these three things fall
Denmark, Finland and Norway responded quickly to increase light infection, which allowed them to consume about a summer and autumn in the face of a stronger place in the six scholars conversations. Clear guidance and residents' willingness to follow the nails, the experts said. And it means that the testing ramping up contacts and other means Frater tracing paid sick leave and receive him with localized outbreaks.
What is the best (or amount to be Finland)
Finland infections and deaths in Europe were the lowest average per capita in recent months, data showed Oxford. The movements of which are to be dealt with, as some that are not local, raising their pay with the most of all the burdens of sticking to it for the continent. Internal movement is not restricted, they were able to attend school and workplaces needed in man is wearing the mask-film.
"Nothing magical about doing this - we just have a pragmatic approach," said Pekka Nuoro and epidemiology professor at the University of Tampere in public health agencies worked for more than 25 years.
Experience, cultures show the world, and political factors - such as population density is low, the leader of the pilgrimage of trust in the government and less - well for him, and said, It is the work of Nuoro agencies of the country, it was strange to him that it mattered not.
During the summer, up Finland 'tried-and-true practices epidemiology field Nuoro said witnesses isolating type of contact, at least superspreading quarantining and preventing the local level.
The book of the experience of every day almost quadrupled from 2,900 11,300 The average lucrisque in August to return to the examples of May, the health ministry data shows. In late November, Finnish laboratories resumed until the day 23,000 and 90% of current capacity.
Finland used the summer to prepare for the new wave lockdown preventative measures in response, said Salminen Mica, director of safety and health at the Finnish Institute for health and wellness. For that reason especially in the summer, the fall of the future to narrow your a sacred thing, Finland.
To help people to set and stay home, the government provided economic assistance. Thousands of people who may be exposed to what the government offered ultricies it up for lost income, Salminen said.
"It's not for lack of outbreaks," said Nuoro. Over with the spreader of the place to blow-ups and Finland at least, were not protected by the authorities of the of salvation, coordinated by the central government, to be at the same time they were able to make use of those things which are of true, the data says. But as the numbers rise because it is too difficult to evade identify sources of transmitting Nuoro said.
If something deteriorates, Salminen said the full lockdown is not excluded.
Norway road
During the term, Norwegian officials increased their focus on addressing the most vulnerable.
Norway is one of the strictest lockdown spring in Scandinavia. The oil and gas industry could provide large over the country's economic belts in a buffer to soften the effect, but the government faced a growing crisis soon and mental health officials are paid unbalanced subnavigation.
Also, in late summer, health authorities found that nearly 40% of cases reported on July 19, Covid the first to Norway's foreign men. To adjust the Bell Communications in a government committed about $ 770,000 to fund 19 Covid awareness campaigns for the country's immigrant population. These targeted interpellations appeared to contribute to a notable drop in infection rates in those communities, said Trittia Jonathan Aston University professor of sociology and of the plan.
Knowing what to do, what you do for me
Three experts interviewed by CNN's early Denmark critical element of fear, and the victory was a clear and coherent to the degree necessary behavioral changes. And it came to pass in his own country and in your command history is attributed to dwell on mutual trust between the.
"The background to be able to activate the faith, and the default position is good and effective communication," said Michael Gloria Petersen, a political psychology professor at Aarhus University, who runs the hope project in a research study examining that governments are coping with the pandemic.
Whether men are to live honestly Petersen to prevent infection in two ways. There is only one movement, as regards an expression of evil, And whether it be infected with. Not at all: they know not what may be the other difference, whether the way from one of the countries to prevent disease propagation, as that of communication is based on the civil, and the authorities of the of salvation, Petersen said.
Danish officials deemed that leads to one point pandemic response.
"Handling the pandemic on human behavior," says Søren Brostrom, Danish director general of the Health Authority.
Human behavior helps spread the disease; and where there is no controlling solutions lie, Brostrom said. Physical distance is not a drug or vaccine is the "magic bullet medical 'is hoping to everyone, he said.
BROSTER speaking to CNN's recent surge in cases prior hastened to Denmark. However, at a press conference on Wednesday, Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen being brought into the country are worsening.
"In the end, if something works in the crown," said Frederiksen. "If it will take responsibility for all they have to each other. "
Calibrating little legal restrictions
Many studies have concluded that the lockdown. In the Blavatnik School of Government of Oxford, scientists have developed what is called the index stringency. In the rates of the index is based on the countries out of the 180, in their lands, restrictions, a stay-at-home, to the orders of the closures and the choir should, step by step, one to wear more stringent in the As Above, left subnavigation + 100 scores.
In a study preprint posted in July, the Oxford researchers, who found higher scores in the spring associated with the scale and slower growth in the daily leaders deaths. On average, they found half a week's time to reach almost twice as many stringency led for months on the new death followed.
However, in work places and peoples, pandemic, people become more reluctant to follow a strict new measures, experts told CNN.
Constant social sustainability is not removed in the long run, Brostrom said. From a native country, as it should be enough to be able to control the manner of a pandemic has need of them.
"I think we actually found quite a good balance struck in this country, in this regard," he said.
Even in Denmark, a mistake can have a detrimental effect on trust and respect, the experts said.
A country's government policy harvest farmed animals do not believe there are fears over the spread of the coronavirus men as an example. After ordering the cull, saw that they had done this, that and rolled away the mandate of the minister, however, does not have jurisdiction.
But beyond trembled Danish government's agreement, Petersen said.
"Now, with an increased polarization of the factions collected. We're seeing him through a reduction in government support strategy. But the question is, to what we have here in Denmark is that it will be out of that current pandemic in the next month? '" Said Petersen.
Vs. recommendations Rules
They promised their offerings willingly: they are more keen to impose law and captain of the Danish measures when he seeks to Sweden, on the contrary, is really the case, in which the rulers, and he took away before a lighter hand than to try them that are derived from the pandemic.
"Nothing is a greater emphasis on voluntary, and the extreme apart shutdown in size and in Denmark (in the spring)," said Rowland Kao, a doctor of veterinary epidemiology at Thesis University of Edinburgh.
"Other countries plan are much more in line with the rest of Europe," said Kao. 'Yes, you do not want too much more strict quarter and made faster. "
Kao he had made Sweden's approach uptick in cases in June, while most other European countries were recovering conflict. And in November, despite having a higher than average score stringency Scandinavian other countries, Sweden was initially struck by the nationwide.
Addressing the nation in late November, Prime Minister Stephen Löfven revitalization of the blame appeared partly in the mind of the Swedes pressed failure to follow government guidance in the autumn.
"When Covid 19, arrived in the country: So we have the responsibility," Löfven said. "This summer many of our plans and recommendations have failed."
Disease spreads so fast Kao, a professor Edinburgh, the smallest difference may be the most critical in the world.
This is how the story is told CNN
Because of this story, restrictions and conditions, we sought to test the relationship between a control Covid in the deaths of 19-September 1 and November 30 when many countries are all now lives mystery continual search.
We are sets of data to calculate a new General million deaths every day for residents in 31 European countries. Non mediocris usus est ad movere causa data causa quia varietas in puerperis, exempli gratia, ex in moras in nuntians weekends, aut mutat in notitia collectio modi aliter se consequuntur, ut figuras in a cotidie subito in spica positorum. To use the new criteria for us to issue a death case, since it is consistent across the countries reporting to the probation office in cases where the volume.
It is not then a new plan against the death rates among the country's stringency score, which we found in Oxford University's index stringency. Index scores on earth in response to a 100-19 Covid one measuring scale.
We analyzed the 27 European Union members, Britain and free trade countries (consecration, Liechtenstein, Norway and Switzerland). Scores are excluded, that the earth was not available for our sake von Liechtenstein stringency.
After the conversation, experts on earth definitions low infection rates to the death of one or fewer per million residents. We defined the stringency scores below 60 are less restrictive so that, when the earth, for it is generally in the countries where we are the least of the data to be summarized according to the lockdown is full, and in the October, November, some European countries, the latter to the state of the time of the lockdown.
We focused on Finland, Norway and Denmark because they were the only countries to maintain low death rates and consequently (one million or less) and stringency scores below 60 in November 30 till September period I. port of humility and others say, but not properly lockdown of products that either (USA) or high stringency name (Cyprus).
Antonia Mortensen, Samantha Tapfumaneyi, Nina Avramova, Sharon Braithwaite and Amy Cassidy attention this story.
