(Stockholm) Sweden, which already has one of the heaviest balance sheets per capita in the world, judged a probable scenario on Tuesday predicting more than 3000 deaths additional due to the new coronavirus.
Posted on 22 July 2020 at 8 o'clock58
France Media Agency
These forecasts are taken from one of the three scenarios considered by the public health agency of the Scandinavian kingdom, which has attracted the attention of the whole world by its less strict strategy against COVID – 19.
The toll of the epidemic in Sweden reached Tuesday 5646 deaths and 58 166 confirmed cases, putting the Nordic country in the lead among the most affected countries, even as authorities point to the slowdown in new cases, severe cases and death.
According to the Swedish public health agency, the most likely scenario would be to see different outbreaks emerge across the country, which would be more or less easy to contain.
A scenario “already seen in other parts of the world and which seems to follow the usual path of COVID – 16 “Said chief epidemiologist Anders Tegnell.
In this hypothesis, due to a relaxation of barrier measures, the rate of infection “would increase rapidly following greater socialization between people”, but would then decrease rapidly “when people become aware of the risk and will respect barrier gestures such as social distancing ”. The estimated number of additional deaths in this case is estimated at 3200.
The worst-case scenario considers more than 4400 additional deaths, assuming the coronavirus follows the classic trajectory of a pandemic.
The “best” scenario, in which the virus follows current trends, foresees that 166 additional deaths could be deplored.
Unlike other European countries, Sweden has never imposed confinement on its population and has made headlines abroad for its strategy deemed lax in the face of the coronavirus. It has kept schools for less than 16 open, as well as cafes, bars and other restaurants.
