1) Sin City: A Dame To Kill For- 18M Weekend, 18M Total
For a victory that no one can get excited about, Sin City is looking to barely walk away with a win on a relatively slow weekend. I don’t think any film will hit 20M, but Sin City might come close. Of course, it might also tank like Expendables 3 did. The first Sin City only opened to 29M, and didn’t even break 100M domestically. Plus, it’s been NINE YEARS, actually a longer gap than the 300 franchise had. Add that to the unimpressive Rotten Tomatoes score of 47% (the first one was fresh), and you’ve got yourselves a disappointment on your hands.
2) If I Stay- 16M Weekend, 16M Total
A solid marketing campaign will help If I Stay, but reviews have been mixed. It’s not The Fault In Our Stars, and the book is not nearly the phenomenon. There is a scenario where Sin City flops even harder, and If I Stay becomes a breakthrough smash hit. But, with The Giver still in theatres as an option for teens, and box office in general starting to decline, If I Stay might be stuck at 16M.
3) Guardians Of The Galaxy- 15M Weekend, 250M Total
Guardians and Turtles have been virtually neck and neck midweek, signaling a declining interest in Turtles, and a stronger interest in Guardians. That will show this weekend when Guardians passes Turtles, which had a hard drop last weekend.
4) Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles- 13M Weekend, 143M Total
Still, a respectable amount.
5) Lets Be Cops- 9M Weekend, 44M Total
A drop of about 50% would put the poorly reviewed comedy at 9M for the weekend. The thing is… none of the new releases are comedies, so even though reviews haven’t been kind, it’s the only comedy in the marketplace. Lack of competition will keep it in the top 5 this weekend.
6) When The Game Stands Tall- 8M Weekend, 8M Total
No one is expecting much from this football drama. Jim Caveziel is not a big draw, but might be bigger now that he has a few seasons of Person Of Interest under his belt. Still, sports dramas this year haven’t fared well (Million Dollar Arm, Draft Day), and there’s no reason to suggest this will do any better.
7) The Expendables 3- 7M Weekend, 28M Total
This epic flop will drop 55-60% this weekend, saved a bit by a decent cinemascore.
8) The Giver- 6M Weekend, 24M Total
With competition from If I Stay, The Giver will drop at least 50%. Could be more…
9) The Hundred Foot Journey- 4.5M Weekend, 32M Total
10) Into The Storm- 4M Weekend, 39M Total
11) Lucy- 3M Weekend, 114M Total
12) Boyhood- 2M Weekend, 16M Total
