Society Magazine

Pew Poll Gives Insight into the Future of Politics

Posted on the 22 May 2011 by ---

Pew Poll Gives Insight into the Future of Politics

Alignments in 2008.  What will they be like in 2020?

A recent Pew Research Center poll produced some interesting findings.  How will the political landscape be different in a few decades?  Obviously, it's impossible to know for sure, but this data provides the tools to make some pretty sound guesses.  In the poll, those whose responses were consistent with Democrats comprised 37% of all takers, while Republicans made up 20%.  Another 20% were right-leaning independents, with 13% left-leaning independents and 10% politically apathetic.  Women comprised 57%, 61%, and 56% of the three Democratic subcategories (in this case ranked from most liberal to most conservative).  In contrast, women comprised just 44% and 50% of the "Staunch Conservative" and "Main Street Republican" groups, respectively.  The ratio of women to men in the US remains relatively constant, so these disparities are unlikely to produce earthshaking political shifts in the coming years.  On the other hand, other rapidly expanding demographic groups have the potential to produce a strikingly different political arena in the future.
For instance: Hispanics, the fastest-growing ethnic categorization in the United States, represented 38% of all apathetic "Bystanders" in the survey (those not registered to vote).  However, they made up 26% of all "New Coalition Democrats," and just 4% of all "Main Street Republicans."  While Hispanic-Americans are clearly unlikely to vote Republican, they also compose a large fraction of those with no political sympathies.  As immigration from Latin America continues in the years to come, it seems that growing Democratic margins of victory might coincide with shrinking voter turnout percentages.  It's clear that both parties could benefit from policies and leaders to galvanize what looks to be a group of increasingly disenfranchised Americans.
Over 51% of nonvoting "Bystanders" are in the 18-29 age group.  This also presents an opportunity for both parties, more notably for the visibly-aging GOP (28% of "Staunch Conservatives" were over 65, a higher percentage than in any other political faction).  While the Democrats have done better at ideologically attracting young voters, neither party is doing particularly well at engaging them and pulling significant numbers into its base.  "Staunch Conservatives" are only 8% youth, and "Hard-Pressed Democrats" have just 12% of their support from young people.  Finally, liberals can take heart in the knowledge that the percentage of Americans with college degrees is steadily rising.  Those with a college degree made up 49% of the "Solid Liberal" category, a greater ratio than within any other group (34% of "Staunch Conservatives" and only 10% of "Bystanders").
While the Pew Research Poll is interesting, it's clearly one of many factors to consider.  To conclude this post, here are a few poll numbers relating to policy, from the same survey:
  • 38% believe the USA"stands above all other countries."
  • 47% (a plurality) believe Wall Street does more harm than good economically.
  • 52% place Middle East stability as more important than Middle East democracy.
  • 48% (a plurality) see free trade as good for the economy.
  • 72% support easier paths to citizenship for immigrants.
  • 54% support the legality of abortion.
  • 63% place alternative energy as more of a priority than fossil fuels.
For more insights and analysis, here is the official report (which I discovered after finishing this post, by the way).
Pew Poll Gives Insight into the Future of Politics
Pew Poll Gives Insight into the Future of Politics
Pew Poll Gives Insight into the Future of Politics
Pew Poll Gives Insight into the Future of Politics
Pew Poll Gives Insight into the Future of Politics
Pew Poll Gives Insight into the Future of Politics

You Might Also Like :

Back to Featured Articles on Logo Paperblog

These articles might interest you :

  • Video: SalomonTV Takes Us on a Dream Trip to Nepal

    Video: SalomonTV Takes Dream Trip Nepal

    If you could go on a dream trip, where would it be? For trail runner Tyler Courville, it would be a visit to Nepal to go running with National Geographic... Read more

    The 23 May 2017 by   Kungfujedi
  • 5 Ice Cream Shops Keeping Chicago Cool This Summer

    Cream Shops Keeping Chicago Cool This Summer

    There’s no better sweet treat during summertime than ice cream. When the sun is out and temperatures climb higher, warm desserts just can’t compete. Read more

    The 23 May 2017 by   Urbanmatter Chicago
  • Coqui Coqui Residences

    Coqui Residences

    The chill and laid back subtle bohemian modern rustic elegance of the Coqui Coqui residences is undoubtedly the best way to drift away on a hectic Tuesday... Read more

    The 23 May 2017 by   Myparadissi
  • First Look: Christian Actress Meagan Good In Election Night Romance

    First Look: Christian Actress Meagan Good Election Night Romance

    ChristianNews We have the first look pics of Christian actress Meagan Good in an election night romance drama starring opposite Omari Hardwick. Read more

    The 23 May 2017 by   Firstladyb
  • Sedo Weekly Sales Led by

    Sedo released their weekly sales and was the top sale at $30,000. sold for $27,000. Songs and movies have both been titled Only You, so thi... Read more

    The 23 May 2017 by   Worldwide
  • Combining Posts

    Combining Posts

    Due to illness (not mine) it's been a while since I've been out either on the patch or further afield, today I finally made it out for a morning stroll around... Read more

    The 23 May 2017 by   Ashley Crombet-Beolens
  • Sir Roger Moore – Always Living in the Fast Lane…

    Roger Moore Always Living Fast Lane…

    Today at the age of 89 years, the film actor and former "James Bond", Sir Roger Moore passed away, after a short battle with cancer. He was the longest serving... Read more

    The 23 May 2017 by   Solarisastro