U.S. Debt Debacle: Predicting Dollar Doomsday Or Incarnating the Dollar Phoenix?
Posted on the 08 January 2013 by Rachelcool01
The U.S. federal debt is presently in
trillions of dollars; yet, a lot of people fail to understand what it means for
the nation. The national debt and its related issues rule much of the public
discussion. Many countries, especially the United States has witnessed debt
skyrocket. Financial recession and tax rebates have been the cause of poor tax
receipts. Moreover, the government has spent a massive amount on social development
and programs to save struggling banks. Besides these expenses, the United
States has other liabilities related to entitlement programs. Although debt
reduction programs could prove to be of some help, the fact remains that
America has been accumulating debt at a tremendously high speed, and chances
are not very good for the condition to change anytime soon.
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U.S.
debt debacle pointing to the dollar doomsday
Among the various sectors affected by
the massive U.S. debt burden, the American dollar has been the most important
among them. Way back in 2008, the U.S. dollar got near to losing its position
as the global reserve currency. For decades, the dollar has played an important
role in the world economy, but America’s increasing debt issue is more likely
to hasten an actual universal crisis. But an even bigger risk is the possible
loss of the U.S. dollar’s “reserve currency” standing — the chief support of
the global economy for the past four decades. Central banks worldwide have been
dependent on huge reserves of dollars to make trading easier. That, in turn,
has allowed America to print much bigger amounts of its notes, with apparently
little inflationary outcomes. The import levels for Americans were much higher
than the export level, they consumed more than they produced, and spent more
than they earned. However, this scenario changed quickly. With international
drop in demand for dollars, central banks all around the globe gradually
reduced their dollar reserves. That obviously debases the dollar against other
currencies and thereby causes inflation. This added to concerns about the
future of the dollar, and America in general.
Time
for a dollar comeback
After facing a crisis for quite some
time now, the dollar is close to regaining a ground. Considering the present
state of the U.S. economy, it can be expected that the greenback will ease a
bit more over the coming few months. However, other factors signify a more
steady U.S. economy on the close horizon.
The declining U.S. trade deficit is one
more feather in the dollar's cap. Both in fixed terms and as a percentage of
GDP, the trade gap is getting reduced. In 2008, it was almost $520 billion – a
figure substantially below $685 billion (2007) and $758.5 billion (2006).
It is on track toward $520 billion and
3.8% of GDP in 2008, down substantially from $685 billion and 5.1% of GDP in
2007 and $758.5 billion and 5.7% of GDP in 2006. Rampant uncertainties about
the U.S.' capacity to sustain ever-increasing trade gaps was an important
factor in the dollar's downturn over the last decade. A dwindling gap will now
have an entirely opposite, encouraging effect.