Updates from Around the World

Posted on the 05 June 2020 by Thiruvenkatam Chinnagounder @tipsclear

A forecast released by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention now predicts more than 127,000 coronavirus deaths in the U.S. by June 27.

The overall forecast is based on 20 individual forecasts from outside institutions and researchers. The new projections, released Thursday, predict 127,230 deaths by June 27, with a possible range of 118,450 to 143,340 deaths.

"This week's national overall forecast suggests that the number of newly reported COVID-19 deaths per week will continue to decrease. It predicts between 118,000 and 143,000 COVID-19 deaths cumulative by June 27," said the CDC on its website.

Unlike some individual models, the CDC's overall forecast only provides projections for the next month. Previous overall forecasts, released last Thursday, predicted around 123,200 deaths by June 20.

The projections are published on the CDC's "COVID-19 Forecasts" page, but they are also listed on the agency's "COVID Data Tracker". At both sites, users can also view the statewide overview forecast.

"The overall forecast indicates that the rate of newly reported deaths will vary from state to state," says the CDC on its forecast page.

"In some states, cumulative deaths will increase at roughly the same rate as in recent weeks, while other states are likely to experience only a small number of additional deaths from COVID-19."


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