This is the consensus electoral college map from Taegan Goddard's website. Here is how they arrived at it:
Our presidential election map is currently based on the consensus of the following forecasts:
- Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, October 8, 2020
- Cook Political Report, September 29, 2020
- First Read, September 8, 2020
- Cook Political Report, July 24, 2020
- Inside Elections, July 17, 2020
We also use the latest polling data from FiveThirtyEight, RealClearPolitics and Electoral-Vote.com.