Texas Democrats Are Still Solidly Behind Hillary Clinton

Posted on the 24 February 2016 by Jobsanger

It's only six days now until Texas Democrats get to vote in the 2016 primary, and a new University of Texas / Texas Tribune Poll shows she still has a solid 10 to 17 point lead. The poll was done between February 12th and 19th of a random sample of 460 Democrats (324 likely voters). The margin of error for all Democrats is 4.57 points, and for likely voters is 5.44 points.
I could be wrong, but I think Hillary Clinton will take Texas by about a 12 to 13 point margin.
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Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight.com also sees an easy victory for Clinton in Texas. He says she has a 95% chance of winning the state (and his projected outcome is shown in the chart below).