Show notes:
Innovation is slowing, research productivity is declining, scientific work is becoming
more[less] disruptive. In this video I summarize what we know about the problem and what possible causes have been proposed. I also explain why this matters so much to me.00:00 Intro
00:33 Numbers [1]
06:33 Causes
10:32 Speculations [2]
16:25 Bullshit Research
22:06 Epilogue
I've given a fair amount of attention to this topic under the label, stagnation. I've also written a working paper: Stagnation and Beyond: Economic growth and the cost of knowledge in a complex world, July 25, 2019.
[1] Here she opens by citing results from Bloom et al. Are Ideas Getting Harder to Find? (2017), and other more recent papers.
[2] Mentions Fast Grants, with clips showing Patrick Collison and Tyler Cowen.