Gary Marcus Has Raised a $350K Bet Against Musk's Prediction of AGI by 2029. Will It Go Higher?

By Bbenzon @bbenzon

Super-AGI is pumped!

The prediction:

2029 feels like a pivotal year. I’d be surprised if we don’t have AGI by then. Hopefully, people on Mars too.

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) May 30, 2022

The $100 K bet is in the linked article, which also sets forth the 5 criteria Marcus suggests:

are you in, @elonmusk? I say no way we will get to AGI by 2029, and lay down 5 suggestions for how we might tell:https://t.co/yfXycZeAd9 https://t.co/x1D4OGsX7Y

— Gary Marcus 🇺🇦 (@GaryMarcus) May 31, 2022

Another $100 K:

Gary, I'll match your bet!

— Vivek Wadhwa (@wadhwa) May 31, 2022

And another $100 K:

Gary, I will also match your bet!

— Serafim Batzoglou (@s_batzoglou) June 1, 2022

And another $50 K:

He's not biting guys. He knows what it takes to make production ai work. Wth here is $50k from my side if it helps ?

— Aniket (@aniketvartak) June 1, 2022

That's where the bet stands as of 6:02 AM EDT on Wednesday June 1, 2022. How high can it go? Will it get to a million?