Forecasting the United States Presidential Election

Posted on the 07 August 2020 by Jobsanger




The Economist has been forecasting the outcome of the United States presidential election. The charts above show the current state of their forecast. They see Joe Biden with a 97% chance of winning the popular vote, and an 89% chance of winning the electoral college vote. They see Donald Trump with a 3% chance of winning the popular vote, and an 11% chance of winning the electoral college vote.