Wednesday, March 16: In a worrying trend, the second low pressure area of this month brew in Bengal and it will likely increase into a storm of next week’s cyclone. While initial estimates show typhoon tracking towards the border Bangladesh and Myanmar, East India and the Northeast remain vulnerable to the impact throughout next week.
March, April and May are considered a pre-monsoon month, and generally, cyclone disorders began to form above the Gulf in May. However, this year, wild animals have been built far earlier than expected and the possibility of vomiting the first storm this season in March itself.
Only seven cyclones were recorded so far in March in the last 130 years, and only one of them crossed the Indian beach. For almost two decades since the Indian Ocean had seen typhoons in March.
The low pressure area above the bay of South-Central Bengal is likely to strengthen to a low pressure area which is well marked on Saturday. This system is very likely to bring rainfall which is very heavy than 200 mm above Andaman and the Nicobar Islands from Sunday (March 20) to Tuesday (March 22), warning the Meteorology Department of India (IMD).
The system will increase to depression on Sundays and Hurricane Cyclones on Monday, according to IMD estimates. The storm will continue to track northward to the northwest and reach Bangladesh and Myanmar coast side by side on Wednesday, March 23. High surface temperatures and profitable atmospheric conditions help the formation and intensification of typhoons in Bengal.
After the system increases into the cyclone, it will be named asani, according to the advice from Sri Lanka. The name was translated with angry in Sinhala. Like namesake, the system can change awesome, because it is expected to increase into a severe cyclone storm.
In connection with intensity, the model fails to approve at this time. While the GFS IMD anticipates higher intensity, the ECMWF European model shows intensification to a marginal cyclone storm. However, Bulletin IMD added that there was a good deal among the models of tracks and movements towards Bangladesh.
However, the impact is likely to be felt throughout East India and northeast if the system gained strength. Heavy rain until very heavy rainfall and strong winds are expected to be more than Odisha, West Bengal, and northeastern state on Wednesday and Thursday. Fishermen are advised not to explore the sea next week along the east coast of India.
The post Cyclone Asani to Form Over BoB, Affect Odisha, West Bengal, Bangladesh Next Week; Andaman & Nicobar on Alert This Week first appeared on Sarang Bos.