This is the consensus electoral college map from Taegan Goddard. It shows Biden with 280 electoral votes, and several red states that are now toss-ups (Texas, Arizona, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, and Iowa. If Trump loses several of those states, the 2020 race could easily become a blow-out victory for Joe Biden.
Here's how Goddard arrived at this map:
Our interactive presidential election map is currently based on the consensus of the following forecasts:
- Harry Enten, “Texas is a Swing State”, July 11, 2020
- Cook Political Report, July 8, 2020
- Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball, June 25, 2020
- Inside Elections, April 3, 2020
- Bitecofer Model, March 24, 2020