Eller's 2012-13 data-generated scouting report can be found here.
Tracking every puck-possession play over the course of an entire season allows us to track how well a player is playing during each and every game. Taking those numbers and trending them over the entire season gives us a clear and objective view of how consistent (or inconsistent) a player has played. This also allows us to visualize any upward or downward trends in a player's performance.
OVERALL RISK/REWARD RATING
Risk/reward rating shows how many more successful plays a player makes than unsuccessful plays per-minute of ice-time.
Overall risk/reward rating includes events that occur at even-strength, short-handed, and while on the powerplay. For this reason, a player who plays more often short-handed than on the powerplay will see an immediate negative impact on their overall risk/reward rating. Through no fault of their own, player's killing penalties engage in substantially fewer events per-minute than occur at even-strength or on the powerplay.
Eller's overall risk/reward rating fell slightly over the course of the season.
OVERALL RATIO
Overall ratio shows how many successful plays a player makes for every 1 unsuccessful play. Eller's overall ratio improved slightly this season; thanks in part to his play in the defensive-zone.
EVEN-STRENGTH RISK/REWARD RATING
Risk/reward rating shows how many more successful plays a player makes than unsuccessful plays per-minute of ice-time.
Eller's even-strength risk/reward rating showed a solid improvement over the course of the season. As displayed in a graph further down, his play in the defensive-zone developed impressively well during the season.
OFFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
Risk/reward rating shows how many more successful plays a player makes than unsuccessful plays per-minute of ice-time.
Eller's offensive-zone risk/reward rating held steady over the course of the season.
OFFENSIVE SUCCESS-RATE IN THE OFFENSIVE-ZONE
Puck-possession (offensive) success-rate shows a player's success-rate when attempting to maintain puck-possession for his team.
Eller's puck-possession success-rate fell slightly over the course of the season. As shown below, his passing improved; it was his ability to get shots through to the net that contributed to the slight drop.
NUMBER OF COMPLETED PASSES IN THE OFFENSIVE-ZONE PER-GAME
Eller completed more offensive-zone passes at even-strength as the season wore on. Much of this improvement came when he played alongside Alex Galchenyuk.
DEFENSIVE SUCCESS-RATE IN THE OFFENSIVE-ZONE
Defensive success-rate shows a player's success-rate when attempting to acquire or remove puck-possession from the opposition. This metric is a solid indication of a player's ability to effectively forecheck.
Eller's ability to remove or acquire puck-possession from the opposition fell slightly during the season.
DEFENSIVE-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
Risk/reward rating shows how many more successful plays a player makes than unsuccessful plays per-minute of ice-time.
When displayed on a graph, Eller's defensive-zone risk/reward rating is jaw-dropping. His improvement in this metric surprised even me.
PUCK-POSSESSION SUCCESS-RATE IN THE DEFENSIVE-ZONE
Puck-possession (offensive) success-rate shows a player's success-rate when attempting to maintain puck-possession for his team.
Eller developed into an almost "sure thing" when it came to moving the puck safely out of the defensive-zone.
DEFENSIVE-ZONE PASSING SUCCESS-RATE
Eller's improved defensive-zone puck-possession success-rate can also be expressed in his defensive-zone passing success-rate. Not only did Eller's success-rate improve; his consistency improved.
DEFENSIVE SUCCESS-RATE IN THE DEFENSIVE-ZONE
Defensive success-rate shows a player's success-rate when attempting to acquire or remove puck-possession from the opposition.
Eller's success-rate when attempting to remove or acquire puck-possession from the opposition in the defensive-zone fell slightly over the course of the season. This drop is more the product of the pile-on effect of an increase in events, than it is a refection of his play.
NEUTRAL-ZONE RISK/REWARD RATING
Risk/reward rating shows how many more successful plays a player makes than unsuccessful plays per-minute of ice-time.
Neutral-zone risk/reward rating is generally less stable when looked at on a game-by-game basis. This is due to the limited number of neutral-zone events most players engage-in over the course of 1 game. That said, Eller's neutral-zone risk/reward rating improved as the season wore on.
POWERPLAY RISK/REWARD RATING
Risk/reward rating shows how many more successful plays a player makes than unsuccessful plays per-minute of ice-time.
Powerplay risk/reward rating is difficult to trend on a game-by-game basis because the number of powerplays can vary each game. Each player's PP risk/reward rating depends on different facets of their game; depending on position and role. For his part, Eller's PP risk/reward rating is directly related to his ability to recover loose-pucks, and complete passes in the offensive-zone.
Pacioretty's for example, would be contingent on his ability to recover loose-pucks, and get shots through to the net, while Subban's would be contingent on his ability to complete passes, and get shots through to the net.
Eller's PP risk/reward rating fell sharply as the season wore on. That said, he was not a PP regular.
SHORT-HANDED RISK/REWARD RATING
Risk/reward rating shows how many more successful plays a player makes than unsuccessful plays per-minute of ice-time.
Like PP risk/reward, Short-handed risk/reward rating is difficult to trend on a game-by-game basis because the number of powerplays can vary each game.
A forward's short-handed risk/reward rating is impacted mostly by their ability to win puck-battles, recover loose-pucks, and successfully dump the puck out of the defensive-zone.
Eller's short-handed rating fell slightly over the course of the season. Likely stabilized by an increase in events, as his early short-handed risk/reward rating was a statistical anomaly.
