Animals & Wildlife Magazine

Limits to Growth Was Right. Research Shows Pending Collapse as Human Population Rises and Resources Decline

By Garry Rogers @Garry_Rogers

In 1972, a group of scientists predicted that human civilization would collapse by 2100 if there were no changes in the ways we run our businesses, governments, and daily lives. There were no changes.

Limits to Growth was right. Research shows pending collapse as human population rises and resources declineGarryRogers Nature Conservation and Science Fiction (#EcoSciFi)

Four decades after publication, Limit to Growth’s forecasts have been vindicated by new Australian research. Expect the early stages of global collapse to start appearing soon.by Graham Turner and Cathy Alexander, The Guardian, September 2, 2014 Piles of crushed cars at a metal recycling site in Belfast, Northern Ireland.
Piles of crushed cars at a metal recycling site in Belfast, Northern Ireland. Photograph: Alamy Critics called the 1972 book Limits to Growth, which predicted our civilization would probably collapse some time this century, a doomsday fantasy. Back in 2002, self-styled environmental expert Bjorn Lomborg consigned it to the “dustbin of history.” It doesn’t belong there. Research from the University of Melbourne has found the book’s forecasts are accurate, 40 years on. If we continue to track in line with the book’s scenario, expect the early stages of global collapse to start appearing soon. A think tank called the Club of Rome commissioned the Limits to Growth. Researchers working out…

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