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How Accurate Is Your Favorite Pundit? (Or: How Bad Is Dick Morris?)

Posted on the 08 February 2013 by Reasoningpolitics @reasonpolitics

100924_dick_morris_605_apMy friend Brian sent me a great website, PunditTracker, that tracks and scores pundits’ ability to make accurate predictions. They track pundits’ specific predictions in finance, politics, and sports, let you vote on how accurate you think the prediction was, then score it when the event occurs.

How good is your favorite pundit when it comes to predictions? One of my favorites, David Brooks, did really well, scoring a solid ‘B.’ Unsurprisingly, Dick Morris was given an ‘F.’

Now, if you’ve read Nate Silver’s The Signal and The Noise, you realize just how difficult the business of predictions is. However, pundits like Dick Morris do not just make bad predictions, they skew real scientific data to manipulate the game for their preferred side. Remember this gem?

Morris was also singled out by The American Conservative in their lost of pundits who need to, for the good of the country, call it quits.


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